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Barometer country and sector risks barometer Q2 2018

Feels like déjà vu : Rising sovereign spreads in the eurozone, increased protectionism, higher oil prices, capital outflows from major emerging countries.

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Sector risk assessments - 2nd quarter 2018

13 major sectors assessed worldwide

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Country risk assessment map : 2nd quarter 2018 publication

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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Race for market share in Africa: the European pack is catching up with the French breakaway

The loss of French influence is not only attributable to China: other major emerging countries, as well as some European neighbours, have entered the African market.

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Taking stock of global metal sector trends and outlook

The most-widely traded base and ferrous metals have benefitted from a bull market since mid-2016 (...)

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Political Risk in Latin America: Back to the future?

Latin America has experienced a diffi cult period since 2014. The slump in commodity prices has impacted activity via several channels (...)

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Western Balkans and the European Union: political ties lagging behind economic ones

Despite regional conflicts, the 2007-08 financial crisis, and the 2009-11 eurozone crisis, Western Balkans countries have developed a close economic proximity with the European Union via a number of regional and bilateral agreements. However, due to institutional, economic, and diplomatic obstacles, accession to the EU will be a long process. At the same time, due to the region’s strategic importance and with the reinforcement of membership conditions, accession (or a pre-accession status) is likely to happen – especially as membership would divert the region from other
interested parties (Russia, China).

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Currency Risk in Africa: easing in 2018, but reserves have melted

The exchange rate risk is still relevant on the African continent, as evidenced by the depreciation of the Angolan kwanza by more than 30% since the partial liberalisation of the exchange rate regime in January 2018.

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Country and sector risks barometers Q1-2018 : Beyond the peak of global growth

The leading Western economies continued to perform well during the first quarter of 2018. The United States (US) economy is expected to remain robust this year, with a GDP growth forecast of 2.3%.

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Sector Risk Assessments - 1st quarter 2018

13 MAJOR SECTORS ASSESSED WORLDWIDE

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Country risk assessment map - 1st quarter 2018

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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The new Mediterranean trade routes

Integration is slowly declining in the mediterranean. Nevertheless, new trade routes have opened.

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Infographics - New mediterranean trade routes

More intra-mediterranean agreements. New bilateral trade flows are emerging

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China Corporate Payment Survey 2018: payment delays increase despite rapid and robust growth

The Chinese economy staged a comeback in 2017. GDP ticked up from 6.7% in 2016 to 6.9% in 2017, favoured by strong demand, as well as loose monetary and fiscal policy settings. As a result, risk managers have become more complacent, both in terms of their economic expectations and their risk management procedures.

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China Corporate Payment Survey 2018: payment delays increase despite rapid and robust growth

The Chinese economy staged a comeback in 2017. GDP ticked up from 6.7% in 2016 to 6.9% in 2017, favoured by strong demand, as well as loose monetary and fiscal policy settings. As a result, risk managers have become more complacent, both in terms of their economic expectations and their risk management procedures.

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The singularity of political risk in Central and Eastern Europe

With the ongoing wave of elections in the Central and Eastern Europe region, CEE countries are experiencing a key period of change in a context of political risk and economic acceleration (...)

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Clash of the Titans: China’s rise fuels competition with Japan’s interests in Asia

China has undoubtedly modelled itself as the new champion of globalisation. Nowhere is this felt more strongly than in Asia (...)

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Companies in France: fewer business insolvencies, but still just as many “zombies”

The number of corporate insolvencies in France has continued to decline at the beginning of 2018: -8.3% year-on-year to end of January (...)

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Poland Payment Survey 2018: Payment delays mounting amid robust economic growth

The second edition of Coface’s survey on payment experiences in Poland was carried out in December 2017 (...)

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Mexico Automotive Industry: Headwinds coming from the North

The Mexican automotive industry has experienced strong growth since the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1993. (...)

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